On the Branching Tree

September 11, 2025


In our study of time, we compare four leading theories: Presentism, Eternalism, Growing Block Theory, and Branching Tree Theory. We aim to show in a future post that a metaphysics of time anchored in the work of Thomas Aquinas is superior. The last of the four in our survey is the Branching Tree Theory (BTT).

In Favor of the Branching Tree. Over 50 years ago, Arthur Prior[1] developed tensed logic, which today has become an essential tool in the Belief-Desire-Intention (BDI) framework in AI systems.[2] Tensed logic uses operators that form propositions from propositions. The past operator, P, stands for “it was the case that”. The future operator, F, stands for “it will be that”. Prior reasons that future contingents lack a determined truth value until resolved. Their truth is retrospective. In the development of his thinking Prior concludes that time can be described as a trunk with branches. Something that is possible is not true on every branch. Agents decide which branch to take.

In How Life Works,[3] science writer Philip Ball provides a scientific complement to the Branching Tree theory. Bringing attention to Third-Way evolutionists such as Denis Noble, Michael Levin, and James Shapiro, he argues that living systems are adaptive agents who match their behavior to a changing environment. Life exhibits agency and purpose. Living systems make decisions and manipulate environments to achieve goals. They possesses causal power as a result of causal emergence. Life’s properties cannot be derived from its parts.

Against the Branching Tree. Consider two objections: whether a trunk with branches is the best way to describe possible worlds, and whether ontological emergence has explanatory power. And a third: if humans have free will, where does this agency come from, and what can it accomplish?

Possible Worlds. David Lewis[4] considers possible worlds, but his possible worlds have fixed timelines. He distinguishes between external time (the timeline) and personal time. A time traveler returning instantly to the time of his grandfather would not age a day. He considers the paradox of whether it is possible for a time traveler to kill his own grandfather. According to Lewis, although this is logically possible, this is not possible in the actual world because the timeline is already fixed—you exist. For Lewis, possible worlds are fixed manifolds (akin to the B-series). A time traveler can logically travel along his static B-series timeline. There may be some other possible world in which a time traveler kills his grandfather, but it is not this one.

Unlike the independent conceptual worlds of Lewis, the Many-Worlds Interpretation (MWI) of quantum mechanics uses a branching tree description associated with each quantum event. Rather than wavefunction collapse associated with a measurement, MWI advocates believe the universe branches into multiple realities without wavefunction collapse. MWI has many critics, including quantum physicists, but the metaphysical issue is one of identity. If I exist in multiple possible worlds and all of them are real, which world holds the real me?

Ontological Emergence.[5] A better explanation for ontological emergence is agency. Emergent properties from pairs of participants produce results that cannot be explained by the individual contributors.[6] Life is better explained by an external agent operating on earthly materials to produce the combined (emergent) properties of life (Gen. 2:7).

Purpose. Prior worried about whether man lives in a predetermined world or if man has free will. Consistent with free will, BTT successfully describes the decision-making processes of intelligent agents. However, although choices are possible along the tree, these actions are limited by the headlights of the agents. Unless the larger world has meaning, and endows agents with purpose, agents’ actions will not be meaningful. BTT is another incomplete theory. It does not explain the origin of time (or life) nor the purpose nor reach of human agency within time.


Image credit: M. Watters


[1] David Jakobsen, Peter Øhrstrøm, and Per Hasle, “In Celebration of Past, Present and Future,” in Logic and Philosophy of Time: Themes from Prior, Volume 1, ed. Per Hasle, Patrick Blackburn, and Peter Øhrstrøm, 2nd ed. (Aalborg, Denmark: Aalborg University Press, 2018), 9–28.

[2] Anand S. Rao and Michael P. Georgeff, “Decision Procedures for BDI Logics,” Journal of Logic and Computation 8, no. 3 (June 1998): 293–343, https://doi.org/10.1093/logcom/8.3.293.

[3] Philip Ball, How Life Works: A User’s Guide to the New Biology (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2023).

[4] David Lewis, “The Paradoxes of Time Travel,” American Philosophical Quarterly 13, no. 2 (April 1976): 145–152.

[5] Epistemic emergence pertains to material properties that surprises investigators, given the known properties of the constituents. The properties of water are a mystery given only hydrogen and oxygen gases. Deeper knowledge of chemistry provides the knowledge that explains this repeatable, emergent behavior. Ontological emergence describes properties that cannot be predicted from the sum of the parts. Life and consciousness are common examples, but this begs the question. Non-life examples of ontological emergence, such as gravity, invariably yield to reductionist explanations. Although some like cosmologist Erik Verlinde describe gravity as an emergent force, atom interferometers sense gravity gradients. Individual atoms are subject to the universal law of gravity. The properties are intrinsic (L. Badurina, O. Buchmueller, J. Ellis, M. Lewicki, C. McCabe, and V. Vaskonen, “Prospective Sensitivities of Atom Interferometers to Gravitational Waves and Ultralight Dark Matter,” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 380 (2021): 20210060, https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2021.0060).

[6] A river emerges on land because water has the capacity to flow and land has disposition of erodibility. Each needs the other. A sand-castle on the beach, or the letters HELP dug into trenches combine sand (and water) with human agency. Human agency leaves an informational signature that the beach sand could not originate on its own. The beach sand has degrees of freedom (capacity) that enable human agency. Not only does life have an informational signature in its DNA, but its actions show intention.

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